Aug

31

Growth Report for Monday, August 31, 2015

STOCKS CORRECT, THEN REBOUND
After the record 1,000-point plunge the Dow Jones Industrial Average took Monday morning, all three major U.S. benchmarks ended up falling below correction levels – but then an impressive recovery began. Bargain-hunters, an interest rate cut by China’s central bank, and a surge in gasoline and oil prices helped turn things around, and the big three all managed weekly gains. The S&P 500 rose 0.89% for the week to 1,988.87, the Nasdaq advanced 0.32% to 4,828.33, and the Dow added 1.10% to reach 16,643.01. WTI crude had its best week since 2009, climbing 11.8% to a NYMEX close of $45.22 Friday.1,2

GOOD NEWS FROM MAIN STREET
Personal spending improved 0.3% in July, matching the June increase. Commerce Department data also showed personal incomes rising 0.4% for a fourth straight month. The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index jumped 10.5 points to a 101.5 reading for August; the University of Michigan’s final August consumer sentiment index declined just a point from its initial reading to 91.9.2,3

ASSORTED GAINS IN THE HOUSING SECTOR
New home buying increased 5.4% in July, the Commerce Department stated last week; the median new home price was up 2.0% year-over-year. Existing home prices (as measured by the 20-city S&P/Case-Shiller home price index) were up 5.0% annually through June. The National Association of Realtors noted a 0.5% rise for its pending home sales index in July, taking its annual advance to 7.4%.4,5

Q2 GROWTH REVISED TO 3.7%
The BEA’s second estimate of Q2 GDP was 1.4% higher than its first, reflecting reassessments of government and personal spending, business investment and inventories. Orders for capital goods also surprised to the upside last week: they rose 2.0% overall in July, 0.6% minus transportation orders.3,5

THIS WEEK: On Monday, China releases its official factory and service sector PMIs for August. ISM issues its August manufacturing PMI on Tuesday, which is also when Bob Evans, Dollar Tree, and H&R Block report earnings. On Wednesday, Wall Street looks at ADP’s August employment change report, July factory orders data, a new Federal Reserve Beige Book, and Q2 results from Five Below and Navistar. Thursday, ISM’s August service sector PMI and the latest Challenger job cuts report accompany new initial claims figures and earnings from Campbell Soup, Lands’ End, and VeriFone. The August Labor Department jobs report arrives Friday.

% CHANGE Y-T-D 1-YR CHG 5-YR AVG 10-YR AVG
DJIA -6.62 -2.56 +12.79 +5.91
NASDAQ +1.95 +5.94 +24.84 +12.59
S&P 500 -3.40 -0.39 +17.36 +6.41
REAL YIELD 8/28 RATE 1 YR AGO 5 YRS AGO 10 YRS AGO
10 YR TIPS 0.58% 0.23% 1.05% 1.79%

Sources: wsj.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov – 8/28/156,7,8,9
Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.

WEEKLY QUOTE

“Remember that there is nothing stable in human affairs; therefore avoid undue elation in prosperity, or undue depression in adversity.”

– Socrates

WEEKLY TIP

Ideally, a college student should have just one credit card with a reasonable interest rate, a good rewards program, and no annual fee.

WEEKLY RIDDLE

What force and strength cannot get through, it with gentle touch can do. People in many halls would stand were it not in their hand. What is it?

Last week’s riddle:
I am a port city in Canada, a state in southeast Australia, a big lake in Africa, and a renowned queen. What is my name?

Last week’s answer:
Victoria.

Citations.
1 – reuters.com/article/2015/08/28/us-markets-global-idUSKCN0QX01U20150828 [8/28/15]
2 – thestreet.com/story/13270473/1/stocks-end-frantic-week-with-only-modest-gains.html [8/28/15]
3 – briefing.com/investor/calendars/economic/2015/08/24-28 [8/28/15]
4 – usatoday.com/story/money/business/2015/08/25/new-home-sales-july/32295169/ [8/25/15]
5 – news.morningstar.com/articlenet/article.aspx?id=713100 [8/27/15]
6 – markets.wsj.com/us [8/28/15]
7 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=8%2F28%2F14&x=0&y=0 [8/28/15]
7 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=8%2F28%2F14&x=0&y=0 [8/28/15]
7 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=8%2F28%2F14&x=0&y=0 [8/28/15]
7 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=8%2F27%2F10&x=0&y=0 [8/28/15]
7 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=8%2F27%2F10&x=0&y=0 [8/28/15]
7 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=8%2F27%2F10&x=0&y=0 [8/28/15]
7 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=8%2F29%2F05&x=0&y=0 [8/28/15]
7 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=8%2F29%2F05&x=0&y=0 [8/28/15]
7 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=8%2F29%2F05&x=0&y=0 [8/28/15]
8 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [8/28/15]
9 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [8/28/15]

This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world’s largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. Market indices discussed are unmanaged. Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. This material was prepared by MarketingLibrary.Net Inc., for Mark Lund, Mark is known as The 401k Advisor, Investor Coach, The Financial Advisor, The Financial Planner and author of The Effective Investor. Mark offers investment advisory services through Stonecreek Wealth Advisors, Inc. an independent, fee-only, Registered Investment Advisor firm providing 401k consulting for small businesses and financial Advisor services for professional athletes and individuals. Stonecreek is located in Salt Lake City, Murray, West Jordan, Sandy, Draper, South Jordan, Provo, Orem, Lehi, Highland, Alpine, and American Fork in Utah.

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Category: Blog, Economic Updates

About the Author ()

Mark K. Lund is the firm's founder, CEO and author of The Effective Investor, a #1 Best Seller. He has written articles for or been quoted in: The Wall Street Journal, The Salt Lake Tribune, The Enterprise Newspaper, The Utah Business Connect Magazine, US News & World Report, and Newsmax.com, just to name a few.  Mark publishes two newsletters called, “The Mark Lund Growth Report” and “Mark Lund on Money.”  Mark provides CPE (continuing professional education) courses for CPAs.  You may also have seen him on KUTV Channel 2, or as a guest speaker at a local association or business. Mark provides investment and retirement planning services for individuals and 401(k) consulting for small businesses. In his book, The Effective Investor, Mark exposes the false narrative magazines, media, big Wall Street firms, and most advisors want you to believe. The good news is that Mark will show you that you don’t need their speculative ways of investing in order to be successful. Get a free copy when you schedule your initial consultation.

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