Feb

7

Growth Report for Monday, February 10, 2014

WAS IT THE WEATHER, OR THE ECONOMY?
For a second straight month, hiring was weak. Employers added 113,000 jobs in January, and while the unemployment rate ticked down to 6.6%, the Labor Department’s latest report came with some caution flags. Private-sector payrolls expanded by 142,000 new positions, but 29,000 federal workers were let go and there were actually job cuts in the booming health care sector. In 2013, the U.S. workforce expanded by an average of 194,000 jobs a month. The February jobs report will either reject or confirm suspicions of a weakening labor market.1

ISM INDICES FLASH DIFFERENT SIGNALS
Wall Street did not expect the Institute for Supply Management’s January manufacturing PMI to drop to 51.3 from the (revised) December reading of 56.5. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com forecast a January reading of 56.0. ISM’s service sector PMI improved a full point to 54.0 in January.2

FACTORY ORDERS SLIP; SO DO AUTO SALES
The Census Bureau recorded a 1.5% December retreat in factory orders, offsetting an equal December gain. Although Chrysler and Nissan reported January sales gains, other major automakers did not as fewer Americans purchased cars last month due to the miserable weather across much of the nation. In January, auto sales were down 3.0% year-over-year.2,3

STOCKS REBOUND, ADVANCE FOR THE WEEK
Investors bought back into stocks Thursday and Friday, offsetting last Monday’s major plunge. That resulted in the following weekly performances: DJIA, +0.61% to 15,794.08; NASDAQ, +0.54% to 4,125.86; S&P 500, +0.81% to 1,797.02.4

THIS WEEK: Nothing major is scheduled for Monday. On Tuesday, Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen delivers the central bank’s semi-annual report on monetary policy to Congress, and the market considers earnings from TripAdvisor, CVS/Caremark, Sprint, PG& E, Western Union, Mosaic, and Dean Foods plus data on December wholesale inventories. Wednesday offers earnings from Cisco, CBS, Applied Materials, Whole Foods, NVIDIA, Deere, NetApp, MetLife and Fidelity. More earnings arrive Thursday – Avon, PepsiCo, Agilent, Nielsen, Kraft and Goodyear – plus reports on January retail sales and December business inventories. This month’s preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment index comes out Friday, as does the Fed’s report on January industrial output.

% CHANGE Y-T-D 1-YR CHG 5-YR AVG 10-YR AVG
DJIA -4.72 +13.27 +18.15 +4.91
NASDAQ -1.21 +30.35 +31.84 +9.99
S&P 500 -2.78 +19.06 +21.38 +5.73
REAL YIELD 2/7 RATE 1 YR AGO 5 YRS AGO 10 YRS AGO
10 YR TIPS 0.53% -0.58% 1.82% 1.79%

Sources: USATODAY.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov – 2/7/145,6,7,8
Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly.
These returns do not include dividends.

WEEKLY QUOTE

“Get the facts, or the facts will get you. And when you get them, get them right, or they will get you wrong.”

– Thomas Fuller

WEEKLY TIP

Double-check your eligibility for major federal tax credits (AOTC, EITC, child or dependent care credit, adoption expenses credit, Saver’s Credit and others). Dollar-for-dollar tax credits are more valuable than tax deductions.

WEEKLY RIDDLE

It sits when it stands. It walks in jumps. It can grow up to 8′ tall. What is it?

Last week’s riddle:
Joe showed up at a business meeting fresh and alert, even though he had not slept a wink during any of the past four days. Why wasn’t he tired?

Last week’s answer:
He had slept during the past four nights.

Citations.
1 – marketwatch.com/story/us-economy-adds-113000-jobs-in-january-2014-02-07 [2/7/14]
2 – briefing.com/investor/calendars/economic/ [2/7/14]
3 – zacks.com/stock/news/121918/Cold-Weather-Hits-Jan-US-Auto-Sales [2/4/14]
4 – thestreet.com/story/12317464/1/market-hustle-us-stocks-gain-as-markets-shrug-off-jobs-miss.html [2/7/14]
5 – usatoday.com/money/markets/overview/ [2/7/14]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F7%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/7/14]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F7%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/7/14]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F7%2F13&x=0&y=0 [2/7/14]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F6%2F09&x=0&y=0 [2/7/14]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F6%2F09&x=0&y=0 [2/7/14]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F6%2F09&x=0&y=0 [2/7/14]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F6%2F04&x=0&y=0 [2/7/14]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F6%2F04&x=0&y=0 [2/7/14]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F6%2F04&x=0&y=0 [2/7/14]
7 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [2/7/14]
8 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [2/7/14]

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Category: Blog, Economic Updates

About the Author ()

Mark K. Lund is the firm's founder, CEO and author of The Effective Investor, a #1 Best Seller. He has written articles for or been quoted in: The Wall Street Journal, The Salt Lake Tribune, The Enterprise Newspaper, The Utah Business Connect Magazine, US News & World Report, and Newsmax.com, just to name a few.  Mark publishes two newsletters called, “The Mark Lund Growth Report” and “Mark Lund on Money.”  Mark provides CPE (continuing professional education) courses for CPAs.  You may also have seen him on KUTV Channel 2, or as a guest speaker at a local association or business. Mark provides investment and retirement planning services for individuals and 401(k) consulting for small businesses. In his book, The Effective Investor, Mark exposes the false narrative magazines, media, big Wall Street firms, and most advisors want you to believe. The good news is that Mark will show you that you don’t need their speculative ways of investing in order to be successful. Get a free copy when you schedule your initial consultation.

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